This new coronavirus epidemic is starting to heat up

Discussion in 'Covid-19 News/Info' started by cowboy1964, Jan 22, 2020.

  1. Westexas

    Westexas

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    ABBOTT LAUNCHES MOLECULAR POINT-OF-CARE TEST TO DETECT NOVEL CORONAVIRUS IN AS LITTLE AS FIVE MINUTES
    - The Abbott ID NOW™ COVID-19 test brings rapid testing to the front lines
    - Test to run on Abbott's point-of-care ID NOW platform - a portable instrument that can be deployed where testing is needed most
    - ID NOW has the largest molecular point-of-care installed base in the U.S. and is available in a wide range of healthcare settings
    - Abbott will be making ID NOW COVID-19 tests available next week and expects to ramp up manufacturing to deliver 50,000 tests per day
    - This is the company's second test to receive Emergency Use Authorization by the FDA for COVID-19 detection; combined, Abbott expects to produce about 5 million tests per month


    https://abbott.mediaroom.com/2020-0...ovel-Coronavirus-in-as-Little-as-Five-Minutes
     
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  2. ModGlock17

    ModGlock17

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    Forecasted case for Mar-27th was 511,189 (see spreadsheet way above).

    Actual is 514,972. Error is 0.7%,
    ( forecast was done with existed data before social distancing measures were implemented.)

    So far, whatever the world has done, has not impacted the spread of this virus.

    Should we start questioning the effectiveness of social distancing ???
     

  3. Westexas

    Westexas

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    No, give it more time. The problem is that too many people don’t take this seriously.

    That may change when they see their elderly friends and family members start dying from this.

    People need to understand that we have a substantial population that’s over sixty. Add to that a number of people with underlying health conditions and you have the recipe for disaster if we don’t slow this down.
     
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  4. ModGlock17

    ModGlock17

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    Sure. We wait for more days ahead.

    Here the scenario to ponder, as the public slowly realizes it's not effective, they'll ignore it more.

    What we are missing here is the studies and discussion about How this virus can get to us. To paraphrase Chuck Schumer, "C19 has more ways to get back at you than the CIA intelligence community."

    Postal Mail ?
    Amazon, UPS shipments?
    Grocery bags?
    AC air circulation?
    Steering wheels?
    Bathroom seats and doors?
    Flies? And gnats? Mosquitoes? Transferring virus to your foods.
    Do our stomach enzymes kill this virus?

    We may have to accept that social distancing is an emotional response to the virus, not a scientific data driven response. I think DJT may have realized that.
     
    Last edited: Mar 28, 2020
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  5. DonGlock26

    DonGlock26

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    Frequent, effective hand washing and not touching your eyes, nose, and mouth are and always have been our best defense.
     
  6. DonGlock26

    DonGlock26

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    Our manufacturing base needs to be returned to the US, we are vulnerable without it.
    You can't be the "Arsenal of Democracy" without it.
     
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  7. bababoris

    bababoris

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  8. IvanVic

    IvanVic

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    We are already seeing some relaxed attitudes on GT. I see it on FB, too. I think Trump’s demeanor is a contributor. He has little tact unless he’s reading a speech written by someone else (e.g. SOTU). He isn’t effectively communicating the idea that we can’t let the economy collapse entirely, but there is a serious threat and potential for a huge surge in cases should things transition back to normal beginning around Easter.
     
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  9. willie_pete

    willie_pete NRA Life Member

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    OK, who's got the real death rate ? or is thus fake news ?

    :headscratch:


    https://www.oann.com/dr-anthony-fau...thony-fauci-backtracks-on-deadliness-of-virus

    " Dr. Anthony Fauci, the health specialist on the coronavirus task force, has said the virus’s mortality rate is closer to that of a bad case of the flu. In a Thursday report published by the New England Journal of Medicine, Fauci conceded COVID-19’s death rate was twice that of the common flu, making it roughly 0.28 percent.

    That rate is exceptionally low, especially when compared to that of the SARS and MERS epidemics, which peaked at 9 percent and 36 percent respectively. "



    I'm so confused.
     
  10. ModGlock17

    ModGlock17

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    Show me the fact or data that supports that statement. Otherwise, it's based on your feelings. Fair enough ?

    In other words, it's a potential that Stormie Daniels can show up at your door step tomorrow. But do you have fact to support that? Do you have past travel records of hers, or one of your friends with her frequent your place, to show that it may repeat, or do you not ?
     
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  11. DonGlock26

    DonGlock26

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  12. Maccabeus

    Maccabeus

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    Maybe I've missed it while skipping pages in this thread, but has anyone been following Douglas G. Frank on Facebook?

    He's modeled outbreaks for years and says it's all about to peak in the USA (see the composite model below based on his individual state models [state dates listed in inset]) and we'll supposedly be in the backside of the curve in a couple days.

    I don't understand for one minute how or why this could be the case, but I'd sure love for him to be right and countless other scientists, doctors, and statisticians to be wrong.

    Screenshot_20200326-222056.png

    I wish I was convinced.
     
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  13. Sharkey

    Sharkey

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    Hey isn't that political? Rather than blame Trump, maybe people are beginning to question what is being told to them. Why didn't you blame the news media for what they have done.

    Move his post moderators.

    Sent from my SM-T380 using Tapatalk
     
  14. Chui

    Chui

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    From yesterday (Fri, Mar 27) morning’s newspaper:

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
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  15. Sharkey

    Sharkey

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    Yeah, I like the wording - "hunt down". I was talking with a friend last night. The full timers on the lake are getting pissy that the weekenders are coming to their lake homes.

    Funny how that works....

    Sent from my SM-T380 using Tapatalk
     
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  16. Westexas

    Westexas

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    Social distancing is really only one part of it. I do believe it’s the biggest part. This is an extremely contagious virus. The “bell curve” needs to be flattened in order to avoid overwhelming the entire Healthcare system. I don’t believe anything short of vaccination is going to stop this virus. It will eventually infect most of the world’s population.

    Consider this a practice run for later. Every year China generates new Avian Flu strains. Some day, one of these strains will acquire the correct genetic sequences for efficient human to human transmission. God help the world when that happens.

    Some of these Avian Strains have mortality rates higher than Smallpox.
     
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  17. DonGlock26

    DonGlock26

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    Michigan ER nurse on COVID-19: 'This is truly scary'


    View: https://youtu.be/alCN4BJnJXw


    My neighbor is a homecare nurse and she said people with the Chinese virus are bring sent home from the hospital for hospice. My guess is the decision is based largely on age.
     
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  18. Westexas

    Westexas

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    So is everyone else. The mortality rate is all over the place. Young and healthy? You’re probably fine. Old with
    Underlying health conditions?
    You’re in trouble.

    Each area this virus parks in seems to be different.
     
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  19. Hartford

    Hartford

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    The virus has up to 14 days before people start showing symptoms of having contracted it. So a bunch of the càses we're seeing now could be from before most states started the social distancing measures. You'd have to give it more time to see if the measures have an effect.

    Most people are treating it like a big joke From what I've seen. I don't expect it to be all the effective because we failed as group. It's obvious based on a few other countries the virus can be slowed.
     
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  20. clancy

    clancy Oh, for a muse of fire

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    I think common sense would dictate that the Chinese Virus is spread through human contact. More people in contact, more opportunity for the disease to spread. I understand that those who ls showing up at went to spring break in Florida are now being diagnosed with the disease. As for Stormy Daniels showing up at one's door, she could infect only one person at a time, so her RO would not be nearly as disastrous.
     
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