This new coronavirus epidemic is starting to heat up

Discussion in 'The Okie Corral' started by cowboy1964, Jan 22, 2020.

  1. BigBluefish

    BigBluefish

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    Might be time to lower my portfolio's risk profile...
     
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  2. willie_pete

    willie_pete NRA Life Member

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    It won't take much to spook a 10+ year Bull market.

    I think this virus thing has some more to run.
     
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  3. Batesmotel

    Batesmotel

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    This is what concerns me. This seems to be a very different reaction than usual. I sense fear instead of cover up.
     
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  4. B C

    B C

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    The Democrat Socialist virus is the bigger threat right now.
     
  5. Rotn1

    Rotn1

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  6. Rotn1

    Rotn1

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    All right this stuff is getting serious now..... took the stock market down today o.6% to 0.9%
     
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  7. willie_pete

    willie_pete NRA Life Member

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    Yeah, it started dropping with the verified report of the 2nd case in Chicago.

    Just wait until we get a few dozen in the US or all the drug companies in China that supply us start furloughing workers and production lines stop.
     
    Last edited: Jan 24, 2020
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  8. Westexas

    Westexas

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    Yeah, and the more I wonder about where this virus really came from.

    Strange that it appears in a city with a Research center that studies Coronaviruses. Even stranger is that patient zero is a Doctor.
     
  9. Westexas

    Westexas

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    Guess I’ll start more digging while I watch Dr. Phil.
     
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  10. willie_pete

    willie_pete NRA Life Member

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  11. Onkel Walther

    Onkel Walther

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    The virus reached Europe. Two confirmed cases in France.
     
  12. Batesmotel

    Batesmotel

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    When I went through NBC-NCO training we were told someday someone will play with a bug and it will get away from them. Back then we thought it would be Russia.

    The Russians had a lab in the Baltic that was investigated post Soviet Collapse. They found anthrax in standard boro-sillicate test tubes stacked in a canned-pea can in a standard residential refrigerator. The power had been off for months.
     
  13. spork

    spork Caffeinator

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    A couple of folks at work were sick today. Probably just regular old flu. Probably.

    I am optimistic.
    [​IMG]
     
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  14. Westexas

    Westexas

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    In December 2019, a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) is thought to have emerged into the human population in Wuhan, China. The number of identified cases in Wuhan has increased rapidly since, and cases have been identified in other Chinese cities and other countries (as of 23 January 2020). We fitted a transmission model to reported case information up to 21 January to estimate key epidemiological measures, and to predict the possible course of the epidemic, as the potential impact of travel restrictions into and from Wuhan. We estimate the basic reproduction number of the infection (R_0) to be 3.8 (95% confidence interval, 3.6-4.0), indicating that 72-75% of transmissions must be prevented by control measures for infections to stop increasing. We estimate that only 5.1% (95%CI, 4.8-5.5) of infections in Wuhan are identified, and by 21 January a total of 11,341 people (prediction interval, 9,217-14,245) had been infected in Wuhan since the start of the year. Should the epidemic continue unabated in Wuhan, we predict the epidemic in Wuhan will be substantially larger by 4 February (191,529 infections; prediction interval, 132,751-273,649), infection will be established in other Chinese cities, and importations to other countries will be more frequent. Our model suggests that travel restrictions from and to Wuhan city are unlikely to be effective in halting transmission across China; with a 99% effective reduction in travel, the size of the epidemic outside of Wuhan may only be reduced by 24.9% on 4 February. Our findings are critically dependent on the assumptions underpinning our model, and the timing and reporting of confirmed cases, and there is considerable uncertainty associated with the outbreak at this early stage. With these caveats in mind, our work suggests that a basic reproductive number for this 2019-nCoV outbreak is higher compared to other emergent coronaviruses, suggesting that containment or control of this pathogen may be substantially more difficult.

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.20018549
     
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  15. Westexas

    Westexas

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    Kanatjan Alibekov was Deputy
    Director of Biopreparat before he defected to the West. He
    wrote the book “Biohazard.”
     
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  16. Batesmotel

    Batesmotel

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    Insert Expletive Here.
     
  17. cyberghostx13

    cyberghostx13 USMC "The Few The Proud"

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    "Wholey Bat-Sh** Batman"
     
  18. cowboy1964

    cowboy1964

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  19. cyberghostx13

    cyberghostx13 USMC "The Few The Proud"

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    You mean the "Bow, Apease, and Jack-Up Taxes" Virus?
     
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  20. Westexas

    Westexas

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    I was just on Avian Flu Talk. There’s video supposedly smuggled out of Wuhan. It’s titled “Collapse of Wuhan.” I’m not posting the link; y’all need to go to their site.

    I don’t know what to think. If it’s real......, it’s really bad.
     
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