Shocking' list of what's killed the most people in 2020

Discussion in 'Covid-19 News/Info' started by cbetts1, Apr 2, 2020.

  1. czsmithGT

    czsmithGT

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    No, he is FOS because he has no idea how many Corona Virus will end up killing. He put down 21,000. By now it is over 49,000. Ask Rush how many will end up dead from it before it subsides.
     
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  2. M&P15T

    M&P15T All Hail King Kona

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    Math;

    The current mortality rate in the US is 2.4%. Of course that is only those tested. But of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the US, 2.4% are dying from it.

    The current supposed US population is 327.2 million. Let's figure 1/2 of the population gets COVID-19. And let's figure the mortality rate is really 1/2 what is currently reported.

    That would mean 1,963,200‬ deaths from COVID-19.
     
    Last edited: Apr 2, 2020
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  3. Lampshade

    Lampshade

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    No, he was trying to make a point but the data doesn't support the point he was trying to make.
     
  4. Kevinr20

    Kevinr20

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    You keep repeating this bs. You know the fatality rate is not 2.4% so you must know its dishonest to calculate the number dead based on that. The experts say we won't know the fatality rate until it's all over. Many projections have it well under 1%. Still high but much less than your calculations.
     
  5. rock_castle

    rock_castle Stay home if you're afraid of the flu

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    Are you saying that my post is wrong?

    Most all of us are going to die old, even you.
     
  6. M&P15T

    M&P15T All Hail King Kona

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    I'm saying that COVID-19 is real, is just starting, and is going to kill millions. Unless, that is, Chlorquine has a great impact on patients.

    So what I mean is, let's not deny where we're at; this is just starting.
     
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  7. M&P15T

    M&P15T All Hail King Kona

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    Try reading my post again. Maybe you'll get it the 2nd time.
     
  8. rock_castle

    rock_castle Stay home if you're afraid of the flu

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    Sure..but at worst it's only going to kill a tiny percent of us, which means most all of us are going to be just fine.
     
  9. cbetts1

    cbetts1

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    Lighten up Francis. He used a well known source that references deaths and their cause to put this into prospective. Every estimate of prospective deaths have been grossly exaggerated or miscalculated.

    That professor in Great Britain estimated 500,000 deaths. His model now says 20,000. The prof also stated that 10,000 of those are people that would have died natural/ other causes.
     
  10. Kevinr20

    Kevinr20

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    You didn't halve the fatality rate to come up with 3.9 million deaths. You still used 2.4% in your calculations.
     
  11. M&P15T

    M&P15T All Hail King Kona

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    You are correct. What I actually did was fail to use 1/2 the population (same/same). So let's call it 1,963,200 deaths. I amended my calculations.

    But that is on the low side. That's if only 1/2 the population gets it, and if the mortality rate is really only 1.2% The global mortality rate is currently at 3.4%, and we KNOW China is lying out of their posteriors. Suggestions of around 200,00 dead here is only possible if chloroquine and z-paks really make a big difference.

    And what if the real US mortality rate is higher? Or the % infected of the US population goes higher? No matter what, we better be taking this damn seriously, because based on the current statistical trends, there is no doubt that COVID-19 will be the #1 cause of death here in a few weeks or less. Maybe in days.
     
    Last edited: Apr 2, 2020
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  12. jmohme

    jmohme

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    I don't know about from being bored to death, but my Brother in Law, that I am stuck at home with, is looking more and more like he might expire from unknown causes if he doesn't stay out of my stuff!
     
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  13. Kevinr20

    Kevinr20

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    Is that built into the models or are you making that up?
     
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  14. M&P15T

    M&P15T All Hail King Kona

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    Trump's suggested deaths over the next few months, IIRC. He must be hopefully, as I am, that chloroquine and z-paks make a huge difference.

    My biggest concern is that the mortality doubling rate is getting really close to 48 hours. I think it's just over 2 days right now. THAT is ****ing scary. Truly, truly scary.
     
  15. Blanton

    Blanton

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    Not shocking. COD in the U.S. have been known for years. As well, COVID-19 deaths aren't fully tallied yet
     
  16. nam02G

    nam02G First throwing ax bullseye.

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    Sounds like his cause of death might be known to someone. :)
     
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  17. Kevinr20

    Kevinr20

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    Trump didn't come up with the numbers though. Experts did with models. I doubt they worked in the "hope" that a treatment starts proving to work. It's serious, no doubt. I just don't think we're going to see anywhere NEAR 1 million dead. I doubt even 500k. I guess time will tell.
     
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  18. M&P15T

    M&P15T All Hail King Kona

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    If you have a link to those expert models, it would be fantastic. Without any other information to go on, to cause changes to my calculations, the math just is.

    I do believe that 2,000,000 dead in the next few to several months is a minimum, unless the drug therapies work here like they have been in other countries.
     
  19. rock_castle

    rock_castle Stay home if you're afraid of the flu

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    I'm sorry, but you are a nut.
     
  20. M&P15T

    M&P15T All Hail King Kona

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    What makes you say that? Show me your math, show me your calculations. Show me what you think is going to happen.

    If you have clear stats and trends that show a different future, I'm more than happy to see it. I WANT to be wrong. I WANT conflicting concrete information.
     
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