http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...ions_electoral_college_map.html#battlegrounds Scroll to top. This is a MINOR change, and probably isn't even statistically significant. North Carolina went from leaning Romney to tossup. But any adverse shift is worrisome for Romney supporters of for no other reason than "momentum". For the 270 clinching votes, Obama still has 201 votes either in the bag, likely, or leaning, compared to Romney's 191. That said, 141 votes are tossups, which means the election itself is still a tossup. Neither candidate has this one. Not only is there the potential for a 2000 repeat, a tie is not out of the question. Even a faithless elector or two could throw this election. Then consider the prospect mentioned by several commentators of a Romey-Biden winning "ticket."