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Frisky!
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Discussion Starter · #1 ·
a locust like swarm of rabid litigators.
Laying waste to businesses large and small.
Think the lock down hurt the economy, just wait.
:)
 

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Frisky!
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Discussion Starter · #2 ·
<-----two lawyers planning...
:)
 

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I expect it will show seasonality but is here to stay. Endemic. Hopefully a stable enough virus to be eradicated by a vaccine (not just chased like the Flu).
Unlikely. Best bet is it’s being chased like the flu with best guesses as to which strain is coming this fall/spring. Didn’t we already have at least 2 strains identified between SK and Italy??
 

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There is virtually no chance that this pandemic will fade away by early August.

Why would it? Containment has obviously failed. We are certainly nowhere near the degree of collective acquired population immunity that would be required to stop the virus from propagating. And nobody knows if and when a vaccine might be available, or how effective it will be when it becomes available. We also don't know if individuals who have been infected will have durable immunity, or the degree to which this virus will undergo antigenic drift and whether it will be sufficient to render it infectious to previously-infected individuals.

Nobody knows with certainty how this pandemic will end. But there are individuals who have studied epidemiology and virology all of their professional careers who are better positioned to make informed guesses than the average GT forum member. They predict that the pandemic will last a minimum of 18-24 months and will not stop until 60-70% of the population has acquired adaptive immunity through infection or vaccination.

How many people the virus will kill over that time period is unknown but here is a paper that presents three different scenarios for what the future may hold:

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/sites/default/files/public/downloads/cidrap-covid19-viewpoint-part1_0.pdf
 

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Frisky!
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Discussion Starter · #12 ·
140,000 by end Aug.
 
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Wolverine
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But there are individuals who have studied epidemiology and virology all of their professional careers who are better positioned to make informed guesses than the average GT forum member.
Yeah but are they legends in their own minds? LOL!

Of course you’re correct. Brings Winnie to mind:

“Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.”

Winston Churchill
 

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There is virtually no chance that this pandemic will fade away by early August.

..................

How many people the virus will kill over that time period is unknown but here is a paper that presents three different scenarios for what the future may hold:

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/sites/default/files/public/downloads/cidrap-covid19-viewpoint-part1_0.pdf
So they are suggesting, it is like novel flu pandemic.

When these guys suggest it, they are experts and brilliant.

When people here suggested the same thing, they were mocked incessantly, called deniers, and it was stated or implied they are dumber than a box of rocks.

Interesting.....
 

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Semper Paratus
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28,479 Posts
Global Warming is back per British study group of pros from Dover.
Scientists have agendas.
Never forget that.
:)
And that agenda is funding ,from uncle suga\ or Bill Gates.
If they were good at what they do said scientists would be solving problems and making the world better.


Sent from my iPad using slapahoe
 

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9,094 Posts
There is virtually no chance that this pandemic will fade away by early August.

Why would it? Containment has obviously failed. We are certainly nowhere near the degree of collective acquired population immunity that would be required to stop the virus from propagating. And nobody knows if and when a vaccine might be available, or how effective it will be when it becomes available. We also don't know if individuals who have been infected will have durable immunity, or the degree to which this virus will undergo antigenic drift and whether it will be sufficient to render it infectious to previously-infected individuals.

Nobody knows with certainty how this pandemic will end. But there are individuals who have studied epidemiology and virology all of their professional careers who are better positioned to make informed guesses than the average GT forum member. They predict that the pandemic will last a minimum of 18-24 months and will not stop until 60-70% of the population has acquired adaptive immunity through infection or vaccination.

How many people the virus will kill over that time period is unknown but here is a paper that presents three different scenarios for what the future may hold:

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/sites/default/files/public/downloads/cidrap-covid19-viewpoint-part1_0.pdf
Interesting article. I’m leaning towards the “second big wave in the fall“ scenario. Not good if this happens during the next flu season.

We really need antibody testing on a widespread scale. Best way to determine how many people have been infected. This will provide much needed data.

Very glad I’m retired. Dealing with the possibility of a second wave along with seasonal flu would not be my idea of a good
time.
 

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Truth always sounds like lies to a sinner
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14,544 Posts
a locust like swarm of rabid litigators.
Laying waste to businesses large and small.
Think the lock down hurt the economy, just wait.
:)
you are speaking of politicians and the media, right?
 

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Truth always sounds like lies to a sinner
Joined
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14,544 Posts
And that agenda is funding ,from uncle suga\ or Bill Gates.
If they were good at what they do said scientists would be solving problems and making the world better.


Sent from my iPad using slapahoe
they ARE good at what they do.............rounding up grants to bs us about something new
 
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