It looks to me that Bush had a very good chance to win if Perot had not been running. It all depends on how Perot supporters would have voted if he had not been in the race.I have to respectfully disagree. Bush was NEVER going to win. Perot, or no Perot. The Republicans had already had 12 years, they were not getting 16. I wish they had, but it wasn't going to happen.
538 members of the Electoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win
Nominee Bill Clinton George H. W. Bush Ross Perot
Party Democratic Republican Independent
Home state Arkansas Texas Texas
Running mate Al Gore Dan Quayle James Stockdale
Electoral vote 370 168 0
States carried 32 + DC 18 0
Popular vote 44,909,889 39,104,550 19,743,821
Percentage 43.0% 37.4% 18.9%
Presidential election results map. Blue denotes states won by Clinton/Gore and red denotes those won by Bush/Quayle. Numbers indicate electoral votes cast by each state and the District of Columbia.