close

Privacy guaranteed - Your email is not shared with anyone.

Only 9% of sampled households gave an answer to a pollster in 2012

Discussion in 'Political Issues' started by Goaltender66, Oct 1, 2012.


  1. Goaltender66

    Goaltender66
    Expand Collapse
    NRA GoldenEagle

    Joined:
    Dec 10, 2000
    5,169
    1
    Location:
    Under the cultural penumbra of DC
    http://www.people-press.org/2012/05/15/assessing-the-representativeness-of-public-opinion-surveys/

    [​IMG]

    So think about that. Only 9% of households called by pollsters provide a decent response. Clicking through the data at the link shows some of the reasons why. 38% of those called couldn't even be reached (meaning the real contact rate is 62%). Of that 62%, 86% actively refused to participate. This means 53% of the sample is refusing to participate.
     

    Wanna kill these ads? We can help!
  2. DustyJacket

    DustyJacket
    Expand Collapse
    Directiv 10-289

    Joined:
    Oct 16, 2008
    6,446
    95
    Location:
    Missouri, East of KC
    I don't do surveys.
     

  3. JBnTX

    JBnTX
    Expand Collapse
    Texas

    Joined:
    Aug 28, 2008
    18,722
    2,416
    Location:
    Texas

    Then the pollsters fill in the blanks left by the uncooperative
    participants with their own personal political beliefs, which are usually liberal.

    Polls are BS!
     
  4. JFrame

    JFrame
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    May 29, 2001
    36,489
    2,844
    Location:
    Mid-Atlantic, US of A
    Despite the precipitous loss of input, it's interesting that a polling group would still find polls viable... :whistling:


    .
     
  5. Skyhook

    Skyhook
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Nov 4, 2002
    13,068
    0
    Location:
    USA
    Those polls are meaningful only to those who want to desperately feel like they are backing the right person when they are not. Polls are, as we all know, useful tools for propaganda artists like MSM talking heads, headless writers of editorials, etc.
     
  6. Goaltender66

    Goaltender66
    Expand Collapse
    NRA GoldenEagle

    Joined:
    Dec 10, 2000
    5,169
    1
    Location:
    Under the cultural penumbra of DC
    This actually leads me to another thought....

    This cycle we are seeing samples with wildly unrealistic turnout models. D +9, +10, and in MO, R +99.

    Kidding aside, what if these models aren't necessarily a result of a pollster getting creative with the weighting, but because these are the only people who would participate in the poll? It can be very expensive and time consuming to poll a proper turnout model, so the pollsters just accept the only 1,000 people to participate and leave it at that. In their final October polling they'll put together a proper sample so as to save their reputations.
     
  7. JFrame

    JFrame
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    May 29, 2001
    36,489
    2,844
    Location:
    Mid-Atlantic, US of A

    Just using an empirical evidence of one (me), I never answer the phone for 877-, 866-, 800-, or basically ANY call from someone I don't know. That's what I have an answering machine for, and if it's important enough to talk to me, they can leave a darned message.

    That's at least one conservative opinion that never gets polled.

    Honestly -- I wonder about the people who all they have is time on their hands to answer calls from strangers...


    .
     
  8. aircarver

    aircarver
    Expand Collapse
    Ride Continues
    Silver Member

    Joined:
    May 26, 2002
    26,677
    2,020
    Location:
    Ft. Worth TX
    They don't have to go to work ?

    .
     
  9. JFrame

    JFrame
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    May 29, 2001
    36,489
    2,844
    Location:
    Mid-Atlantic, US of A

    Hell -- they don't have ANYTHING else to do??? :dunno:


    .
     
  10. Skyhook

    Skyhook
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Nov 4, 2002
    13,068
    0
    Location:
    USA
    >>>>>>> "..so as to save their reputations."

    I dare say it's a bit late for that 'save'.

    Like JFrame says, "Just using an empirical evidence of one (me), I never answer the phone for 877-, 866-, 800-, or basically ANY call from someone I don't know. That's what I have an answering machine for, and if it's important enough to talk to me, they can leave a darned message.

    That's at least one conservative opinion that never gets polled.

    Honestly -- I wonder about the people who all they have is time on their hands to answer calls from strangers..."
     
  11. Javelin

    Javelin
    Expand Collapse
    Got Glock?
    Silver Member

    Joined:
    Feb 9, 2008
    13,775
    1
    Location:
    N. Dallas
    Not worth my time so I don't do them.


    And I really don't care what they have to say anyway. :supergrin:
     
  12. Javelin

    Javelin
    Expand Collapse
    Got Glock?
    Silver Member

    Joined:
    Feb 9, 2008
    13,775
    1
    Location:
    N. Dallas
    Especially a poll about a poll. :whistling:
     
  13. brickboy240

    brickboy240
    Expand Collapse

    Joined:
    Sep 25, 2007
    2,620
    0
    Location:
    Houston, TX, USA
    We all knew these polls were crap. Big media just propping up their boy....that is all.

    Besides, how did the numbers get so skewed towards Obama when in 2010, he and his party/agenda got their head handed to them in the mid term elections? Its not as if things have gotten tons better.

    Yeah, I say ignore the polls. The left is trying to discourage us and sway the election. they have to pull out all the stops because their boy cannot run on his record or the economy.

    -brickboy240
     
  14. ChuteTheMall

    ChuteTheMall
    Expand Collapse
    HildabeastHater

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2000
    46,822
    37,415
    Location:
    Anti-Obamaville
    After years of being ignored by pollsters, or lied to, I'm finally on the frontlines in a battleground state. So, if I happen to be home when my landline rings, I answer it and I respond to the pollster.

    But I lied. :tongueout:

    According to the last automated poll I answered, I'm a 25 year old Asian single female making only $25,000 per year, voted for Obama in 2008 but currently undecided.

    Last time I got a live pollster I responded as a 60 year old Hispanic male with 7 children and making $150,000 per year, voted for Obama in 2008 but leaning towards Romney today.

    I always say I voted for Obama in 2008 but that I'm either undecided or leaning towards Romney today. It amuses me to annoy the media, they've been annoying me forever.
    :deadhorse:
     
  15. NDCent

    NDCent
    Expand Collapse
    Socially Inept

    Joined:
    Mar 19, 2010
    3,682
    151
    Location:
    Ozarks
    I keep a whistle attached to the cord of our landline. :notlistening:

    It usually gets an unpleasant reaction from the wife and critters too. :supergrin:
     
  16. concretefuzzynuts

    concretefuzzynuts
    Expand Collapse
    Brew Crew

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2011
    7,475
    13
    Location:
    PNW
    Are they calling Obama phones?
     
Loading...
Similar Threads Forum Date
Teenagers out of control, could be an answer in PHX, AZ The Okie Corral Sep 27, 2015
Got some questions that only a few will be able to answer right off Introduction Forum Aug 31, 2015
gave her 9 inches of pipe The 10 Ring Oct 23, 2013
Need an answer only a LEO can give... Cop Talk Jun 9, 2013
A pollster under oath Political Issues Oct 2, 2012
Duty Gear at CopsPlus