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Asteroid DA14 to come within 17,300 miles in Feb 2013

Discussion in 'Survival/Preparedness Forum' started by cowboy1964, Mar 5, 2012.


  1. cowboy1964

    cowboy1964
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  2. TangoFoxtrot

    TangoFoxtrot
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    OIF 04-05

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    Who knows! An asteroid or comet can hit us at any time.
     

  3. Bolster

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    Not Ready Yet!

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    I think everybody is thoroughly distracted with the 0% probability of a zombie invasion, instead...

    It isn't really a threat until Hollywood puts out a dramatic series on it.
     
    #3 Bolster, Mar 5, 2012
    Last edited: Mar 5, 2012
  4. janice6

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    If it hits, it's Obama's fault.
     
  5. cowboy1964

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    The thing that bothers me is that in that first story they say that they aren't even sure of the exact trajectory during it's pass next year. It will be so close that gravity could affect their calculations. I'm sure they're just sensationalizing, but it makes you wonder.

    Thank goodness it isn't set to pass Dec 21 2012, people would be going nuts. Well some are anyway.
     
    #5 cowboy1964, Mar 5, 2012
    Last edited: Mar 5, 2012
  6. LongGun1

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    StraightShooter

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    Impact by an NEO (or Asteroid, Comet, etc) is one of those "wild cards" that could push the reset button on civilization!

    Yes....many are now cataloged & orbits calculated...

    ..but most are not!

    Even a smaller bolide can create an airbust that can take out a city or metropolitan area like DFW!


    Some recent near misses were not discovered until after they passed us...

    ..days later! :shocked:
     
  7. Bolster

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    Is the universe democratic? If so, let's vote what city we'd most like to see obliterated. Maybe God will listen.

    I vote Los Angeles. No, wait... I live here, scratch that...I vote New York City.

    That's one chance out of 45. Somewhat higher than I thought.
     
    #7 Bolster, Mar 5, 2012
    Last edited: Mar 5, 2012
  8. Javelin

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    Is that the World War-Z comet?????


    :couch:
     
  9. 20South

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    It's Lucifer's Hammer.
     
  10. Akita

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    gone

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    DC, with all politicians past present and future there to witness the next coronation.
     
  11. jellis11

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    Bruce Willis and Steve Buscemi will take care of us. No worries guys!
     
  12. id1otbox

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    read recently in discover magazine that there are more rogue planets flying around in the universe then there are planets trapped by a star
     
  13. racerford

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    Actually that is more like 1 in 4500. 1/.00022=4545.4545454545
     
  14. Lone Kimono

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    If anyone watches reality TV shows you know the Earth won't make it much longer anyway ;)
     
  15. Bilbo Bagins

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    Yea we will all be dead by 12/21/12 anyway, so who cares what happens on Feb 2013.


    :rofl:

    Seriously though, it looks like the asteriod is small, not one of those big extinction ones. It will be equal to a nuke going off. So what are the odds that this asteroid will vear off course, and come down strike Earth, and not strike the 70% of the earth that is covered by ocean, but strike land that 30% that is land, and not only strike land, but strike that lucky 10% of earth's total land mass that is populated by people.
     
  16. Bolster

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    LOL!! Math skills will be important in the post apocalyptic world. Preppers need to be able to calculate probabilities, at least:

    1 / 45 = .022.

    So, one chance in forty-five.

    ALTHOUGH, the distance from the Manchester to Denver is 4545 miles, so your calculation's good for that.
     
    #16 Bolster, Mar 6, 2012
    Last edited: Mar 6, 2012
  17. cowboy1964

    cowboy1964
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    .022%

    percent.
     
  18. sebecman

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    :rofl: Sorry....couldn't help it. :tongueout:
     
  19. Bolster

    Bolster
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    D'oh!! I deserve that. Didn't notice the tacked on "%". Who reports "probability percents"? Generally it's one or the other, not both. Some Wikipedian did the combination. The original (which I didn't look at, lazy) gives straight probability: as you say, 2.1e-04. I stand corrected. One in 4762. Thank goodness for peer review, I'll go prep for something else.
     
    #19 Bolster, Mar 6, 2012
    Last edited: Mar 6, 2012
  20. Foxtrotx1

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    .022 percent is .022/100 which is .00022 = 1 in 4500.

    Prep less, use brain more.